Potential inputs
- Historical baseline
- Enrollment
- Division
- County context
- Program trajectory
- Postseason conversion
CDA Overachievement Index
Which programs exceed what size, history, and resources would predict?
Performance relative to expectations set by enrollment, history, competitive environment, and community context.
Status:Source identified. Future outputs stay labeled until source coverage and QA support validation.
What it measures
Performance relative to expectations set by enrollment, history, competitive environment, and community context.
Why it matters: Which programs exceed what size, history, and resources would predict?
What it does not measure: It does not reward one-season spikes without a source-backed signal.
Example use case: A program with repeated strong seasons after a long quiet baseline becomes an overachievement review case.
Limitations
Input availability varies by public/private status, district disclosure, sport, season, and source quality.